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By Hans Kamermans, Martijn van Leusen, Philip Verhagen

The Netherlands is among the few international locations in Europe the place history specialists and land builders use predictive modeling to prevent destroying destiny archaelocial websites, even if many students give some thought to the applying for this objective hugely debatable. The participants to Archaeological Prediction and chance Management provide an outline of a number of the tools of predictive modeling and assessment how the types are, or can be, utilized by stakeholders in cultural historical past administration within the Netherlands.

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At the base of every research in the Dutch archaeological heritage management is the question whether there is an obligation for the developer (the disturber) to have research carried out. The necessity arises from legislation and regulation. From the principle of necessity follows also that the research may not be more extensive than is legitimised. effectiveness. e. that the intended aim – the tracing of archaeological sites – can be achieved with the means. proportionality. A universal point of departure is that the aim is a proper balance between effort and expected results.

38 4 - The high price or the first prize for the archaeological predictive model R eferences Anonymous 2005a. Bouw vreest nieuwe Monumentenwet, Procedures langer, prijzen hoger door noodzaak van bodemonderzoek, Het Financieele Dagblad, 15 augustus 2005, 3 Anonymous 2005b. 46, Ongecorrigeerd stenogram, Stenografisch verslag van een wetgevingsoverleg van de vaste commissie voor Onderwijs, Cultuur en Wetenschap 2004-2005, 35 Berben, A. 2003. Goed omgaan met archeologie: een kwestie van beschaving, interview staatssecretaris Medy van der Laan over Malta-wetsvoorstel, Malta Magazine 4, oktober 2003, 2-4 Council of Europe, 1992.

On the other hand, the know-how of making and controlling predictive maps will (also) remain in the hands of an independent body. To make a controlling sample compulsory with large projects (EIA projects) in all areas with an archaeological indicative value has two big advantages. This compulsory sample will not only result in that the detailed predictive models becoming more underpinned and justified, but will also have the result that the development of the national Indicative Map Archaeological Values (IKAW) will not have to come to a standstill through a lack of archaeological information from areas which on the basis of the same predictive model are exempted – already sometimes for more than six years − from systematic archaeological research (areas with a low indicative value).

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